2014 Hurricane Season Predictions and Forecasts
With the 2013 Hurricane Season far behind us we are quickly approaching the next season. Now is the time to focus on the names, predictions and forecasts for the 2014 Hurricane Season. The season will be “officially” starting June 01, 2014 and running through November of 2014.
The below names are chosen in advance by World Meteorological Organization with the names rotating every six years for reuse. There are exceptions when a name will be retired and a new name will appear within the six year cycle. You can read more here on the history of naming tropical cyclones and retired names
Updates will appear below in chronological order as they take place prior to, during and after the end of the official 2014 hurricane season.
Tracking for individual systems and tropical storms as well as hurricanes will occupy the area at the top of this article as activity starts during the season. In past years there has been some activity of tropical nature prior to and after the “regular” hurricane season window which runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Updates For The 2014 Hurricane Season
Update 12/29/2013: Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) released it’s extended range forecast for the United States and North Atlantic 2014 hurricane season.
According to the TSR predictions the tropical cyclone activity will be close to what is considered normal.
14 Tropical Storms: Six to be hurricanes and three to be intense hurricanes.
Update 1/25/2014: 2014 Global Weather Oscillations (GWO) Hurricane Predictions based on CEO David Dilley’s insight.
1. Above average number of names storms. A total of 17 hurricanes and tropical storms.
2. Above average number of hurricanes at 8.
3. Near average of major hurricanes at 3.
Update 3/11/2014: New predictions from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center are leaning to an active El Nino event this hurricane season. These predictions that are saying there is a 50/50 chance of this taking place. Should El Nino occur, this will allow the Atlantic Hurricanes/Tropical Storms to steer away from land. That being said, El Nino may not happen. This same prediction was made in 2012 and El Nino failed to appear. All eyes still need to remain on any tropical activity as this El Nino event would not 100 percent assure us a “safe” hurricane season.
Update 5/6/2014: Upon viewing the latest TSR predictions, I have found that TSR has lowered the amount of storm activity for the Atlantic region to reflect the following:
2 intense hurricanes, 5 hurricanes, and 12 tropical storms.
For the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico, the predictions are noted below:
2 intense hurricanes, 3 hurricanes, and 7 tropical storms.
For U.S. landfall predictions:
1 hurricane, and 3 tropical storms.
Update 5/16/2014: On May 13, 2014, the HUGO team located at Coastal Carolina University completed their hurricane prediction for the 2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season. According to HUGO there will probably not be a hurricane make landfall on the Gulf Coast or the Eastern Seaboard this year. They do also state that it could be possible for one hurricane to hit both coastal areas as a second prediction.
HUGO continues with nine and eleven tropical storms with three to six hurricanes. Out of the three to six hurricanes one to two could be major hurricanes.
Update 05/22/2014: The annual hurricane forecast from The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration was released with the result showing that the warming effects of El Nino will probably reduce not only the number of tropical storms this season, but also reduce the intensity of them.
With that noted, NOAA has predicted 8 to 13 tropical storms and 3 to 6 of them turning into hurricanes. Only 1 or 2 are predicted to be major in nature with winds over 110 MPH.
Update 06/05/2014: First tropical disturbance (Invest 90L) forms in the Gulf of Mexico.
Update 6/28/2014: Invest 91L forms off the Southeastern U.S. Coast.
Update 6/30/2014: Tropical Depression One has been designated.
Update 7/01/2014: Tropical Depression One has been upgraded to Tropical Storm Arthur.
Update 7/03/2014: Arthur has been designated as a Category Two Hurricane.
Preparedness for Tropical Storms, Hurricanes and Natural Disasters
Keeping in mind some of the major damages done by tropical storms, hurricanes along with natural and man-made disasters, people need to be prepared in advance.
The best way to divert some of the difficulties found during such times, a Hurricane and Disaster Kit is something every home should have. By clicking the above link you will be able to view and read about what should be contained in such a kit. This kit sits in the author’s bedroom, readily accessible in times of such emergencies.
This type of kit will be a “need to have” item for events such as severe thunderstorms, floods, earthquakes and even war. This kit will be essential should something along the lines of an EMP (Electro-Magnetic Pulse) event take place, than can be solar or man-made.
Hurricane Season Tidbit:
The 2013 hurricane season produced no storms stronger than a Category 2. This is the first time this has happened in a decade, since 1994.
, Hurricane Season 2014 – Predictions, Forecasts, Tropical Storm Names and Hurricane Names – Atlantic Regio www.ozeldersin.com bitirme tezi,ödev,proje dönem ödevi